Updates on Wine and Real Estate in Napa Valley
Buying a home can be intimidating if you’re not familiar with the terms used throughout the process.
To point you in the right direction, here’s a list of some of the most common language you’ll hear along the way.
The best way to ensure your homebuying process is a positive one is to find a real estate professional who will guide you through every aspect of the transaction with ‘the heart of a teacher.’
Existing-home sales have been fluctuating in recent months, but one clear trend is emerging: First-time home buyers are making a move into the housing market as low mortgage rates prove to be an enticing incentive.
Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of REALTORS®, says he’s encouraged by the upturn in first-time home buyers in NAR’s latest existing-home sales report. First-timers comprised 32% of sales last month, up from 29% a year ago, according to NAR. “It’s good to see first-time buyers slowly stepping into the market,” Yun says. “The rise in the homeownership rate among younger adults under 35 and minority households means an increasing number of Americans can build wealth by owning real estate. Still, in order to further expand opportunities, significantly more inventory and home construction are needed at the affordable price points.”
The national homeownership rate has been rising strongly among people younger than 35, increasing from 35.4% in early 2019 to 37.6% in late 2019, Yun adds. Across age groups, existing-home sales are off to a “strong start” at 5.46 million for 2020, Yun says. “The trend line for housing starts is increasing and showing steady improvement, which should ultimately lead to more home sales.”
However, overall sales in January dipped month over month due mostly to the Western region of the country. Overall, existing-home sales—which include completed transactions for single-family homes, townhomes, condos, and co-ops—fell 1.3% compared to December. Still, home sales are up annually for the second consecutive month, with the latest numbers showing a 9.6% gain year over year in January, NAR’s housing report shows.
Here’s a closer look at key indicators from NAR’s latest housing report:
Home prices: The median existing-home price for all housing types in January was $266,300, up 6.8% from a year ago. Prices rose in every region last month. “Mortgage rates have helped with affordability, but it is supply conditions that are driving price growth,” Yun says.
Inventories: The total housing inventory at the end of January was 1.42 million units, down 10.7% from a year ago. Housing inventories are at the lowest levels for January since 1999. Unsold inventory is at a 3.1-month supply at the current sales pace.
Days on the market: Forty-two percent of homes sold in January were on the market for less than a month. Properties stayed on the market for a median of 43 days in January, down from 49 days a year ago.
All-cash sales: All-cash sales accounted for 21% of transactions in January, down from 23% a year ago. Individual investors and second-home buyers account for the largest bulk of cash sales. They purchased 17% of homes in January, up slightly from 16% a year ago.
Distressed sales: Foreclosures and short sales comprised just 2% of sales in January, down from a year ago.
Midwest: sales rose 2.4% in the region, reaching an annual rate of 1.29 million, up 8.4% from a year ago. Median price: $200,000, up 5.4% from January 2019
South: sales increased 0.4% to an annual rate of 2.38 million in January, up 11.7% from a year ago. Median price: $229,000—a 6.3% increase from a year ago
West: sales decreased 9.4% in January to an annual rate of 10.6 million, still an 8.2% increase compared to a year ago. Median price: $393,800, up 5.2% from a year ago
Northeast: sales saw no major movement in January compared to December, remaining at an annual rate of 730,000. That is up, however, 7.4% from a year ago. Median price: $312,100—up 11.5% from a year ago
desire among many seniors is to “age in place.” According to the Senior Resource Guide, the term means,
“…that you will be remaining in your own home for the later years of your life; not moving into a smaller home, assisted living, or a retirement community etcetera.”
There is no doubt about it – there’s a comfort in staying in a home you’ve lived in for many years instead of moving to a totally new or unfamiliar environment. There is, however, new information that suggests this might not be the best option for everyone. The familiarity of your current home is the pro of aging in place, but the potential financial drawbacks to remodeling or renovating might actually be more costly than the long-term benefits.
A recent report from the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University (JCHS) titled Housing America’s Older Adults explained,
“Given their high homeownership rates, most older adults live in single-family homes. Of the 24 million homeowners age 65 and over, fully 80 percent lived in detached single-family units…The majority of these homes are now at least 40 years old and therefore may present maintenance challenges for their owners.”
If you’re in this spot, 40 years ago you may have had a growing family. For that reason, you probably purchased a 4-bedroom Colonial on a large piece of property in a child-friendly neighborhood. It was a great choice for your family, and you still love that home.
Today, your kids are likely grown and moved out, so you don’t need all of those bedrooms. Yard upkeep is probably very time consuming, too. You might be thinking about taking some equity out of your house and converting one of your bedrooms into a massive master bathroom, and maybe another room into an open-space reading nook. You might also be thinking about cutting back on lawn maintenance by installing a pool surrounded by beautiful paving stones.
It all sounds wonderful, doesn’t it? For the short term, you may really enjoy the new upgrades, but you’ll still have to climb those stairs, pay to heat and cool a home that’s larger than what you need, and continue fixing all the things that start to go wrong with a 40-year-old home.
Last month, in their Retirement Report, Kiplinger addressed the point,
“Renovations are just a part of what you need to make aging in place work for you. While it’s typically less expensive to remain in your home than to pay for assisted living, that doesn’t mean it’s a slam dunk to stay put. You’ll still have a long to-do list. Just one example: You need to plan ahead for how you will manage maintenance and care—for your home, and for yourself.”
So, at some point, the time may come when you decide to sell this house anyway. That can pose a big challenge if you’ve already taken cash value out of your home and used it to do the type of remodeling we mentioned above. Realistically, you may have inadvertently lowered the value of your home by doing things like reducing the number of bedrooms. The family moving into your neighborhood is probably similar to what your family was 40 years ago. They probably have young children, need the extra bedrooms, and may be nervous about the pool.
Before you spend the money to remodel or renovate your current house so you can age in place, reach out to a local real estate professional to determine if it is truly your best option. Making a move to a smaller home in the neighborhood might make the most sense.
BY: MATTHEW GRAHAM
Feb 3 2020, 5:39PM
In the world of interest rates, it's good to be a mortgage today. The dominant species on that world is US Treasuries: the quintessential dollar-based loans (after all, they are loans to the US government). Loaning dollars to the entity responsible for the dollar is about as foundational as it gets, but I digress.
Treasuries and mortgage rates tend to move in the same direction and by generally similar amounts. That's because mortgage rates are based on underlying bonds (mortgage-backed securities or "MBS") that are fairly similar to Treasuries in most of the ways investors care about. The prices of MBS dictate where lenders can and should set their interest rates, but ultimately, it's up to the lender. If they're flush with business and want to slow things down, they might set rates a bit higher. The same thing can happen heading into a weekend during times of elevated volatility.
Such was the case on Friday. Lenders had a nice improvement in MBS to work with. It allowed them to lower rates a bit more than they actually did. Now, as the new week begins, Treasury yields and MBS alike are indicating slightly higher rates than Friday, but because lenders played it so safe, they were instead able to offer slightly LOWER rates today. Simply put, mortgage rates are even deeper into multi-year lows now, even though the bond market is pointing to slightly higher rates versus last Friday.
Loan Originator Perspective
Bond yields hit a bit of a wall Monday, moving upward from Friday's multi-year lows, amid upbeat economic data and potential progress on a Wuhan virus treatment. We may not be at the very lowest yields here, but it'd take monumentally horrible news to move rates much lower. I am locking loans closing within 45 days for all but the most risk craving clients. - Ted Rood, Senior Originator
Today's Most Prevalent Rates For Top Tier Scenarios
30YR FIXED - 3.375-3.5%
FHA/VA - 3.125 - 3.25%
15 YEAR FIXED - 3.125-3.25%
5 YEAR ARMS - 3.25-3.75% depending on the lender
Ongoing Lock/Float Considerations
2019 was the best year for mortgage rates since 2011. Big, long-lasting improvements such as this one are increasingly susceptible to bounces/corrections
Fed policy and the US/China trade war have been key players (and more recently, the coronavirus outbreak). Major updates on either front could cause a volatile reaction in rates.
The Fed and the bond market (which dictates rates) will be watching economic data closely, both at home and abroad, as well as updates on other factors like trade and viral epidemics. The stronger the data the more rates could rise, while weaker data will lead to new long-term lows.
Rates discussed refer to the most frequently-quoted, conforming, conventional 30yr fixed rate for top tier borrowers among average to well-priced lenders. The rates generally assume little-to-no origination or discount except as noted when applicable. Rates appearing on this page are "effective rates" that take day-to-day changes in upfront costs into consideration.
In the latest Housing Trends Report, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) measured the share of adults planning to buy a home over the next 12 months. The report indicates the percentage of all buyers that will be first-time buyers looking to purchase a home grew from 58% in Q4 2018 to 63% in Q4 2019.
The results revealed,
“Millennials are the most likely generation to be making plans to purchase a home within a year (19%), followed by Gen Z (13%) and Gen X (12%)…Prospective buyers in the youngest two generations are primarily first-time buyers: 88% of Gen Z buyers and 78% of Millennial buyers are reaching out to homeownership for the first time in their lives.”
With a high demand from first-time homebuyers and a shortage of inventory in the current market, selling your existing home this year might be your best move. Why? Because when homebuyers begin their search, they’re not all looking for new construction. Many are eager to find a little charm and character in a place to call home – possibly yours.
In fact, according to the same study, there is a significant demand for existing homes:
“In terms of the type of home these prospective home buyers are interested in, 40% are looking to buy an existing home and 19% a newly-built home. The remaining 41% would buy either a new or existing home.”
With showing activity up among buyers and more new construction coming to market, as a homeowner, you have the opportunity to sell your existing house now and move up into a new one, or downsize into a home that better fits your current and ever-changing needs.
Not all buyers are looking for a newly built house. If you’re ready to take advantage of low mortgage rates and a high demand for your existing home, reach out to a local real estate professional who can help you market the charming details of your current house to potential buyers.
